My $.02 on Iowa… On the Republican side:
Cruz beat Trump with a great get out the vote ground game, and this was a good win for him, but the bigger takeaway was the very good showing by Rubio, which now makes him the de facto establishment candidate in the race. Money will pour in to him and make him viable. 2nd place in NH will be a victory for him, but he will need to win SC to keep it going.
On the Democratic side:
This was a tie, yes Hillary was declared the “winner”, but that happened by coin toss in a couple of precincts (really). This is a moral victory for team Sanders, he started this contest with 5% of the polls and pulled neck and neck with a better organized and heavily funded Clinton. He will have a more decisive victory in NH, and may be able to pull close in SC, but ultimately I think she pulls that one out. The true momentum should be gained on Super Tuesday. I have a feeling this is going to be a long, close race, which would best suit Hillary.
The most significant thing to come out of Iowa was the viability of Rubio. That is a troublesome development in my opinion for Dems… I think he would be the strongest candidate against either of them in the general, with a real possibility of overcoming the two major electoral hurdles that Republicans have… gain 20% of the Latino vote and sweep the swing states. His popularity will grow, and if you are a Democrat, that should keep you up at night.
So, it’s early in the fight and there is a very long nomination road ahead… On to NH to see where we go from here!
What Iowa means… was last modified: February 2nd, 2016 by